Sitemap - 2023 - Erdmann Housing Tracker

Hsieh, Moretti, Shiller, and the Rest: Part 1

Subprime, bank runs, and the Global Financial Crisis

November 2023 Construction and New Home Sales Update

The Housing Shortage Is Larger Than You Think: Part 2

The Housing Shortage Is Larger Than You Think: Part 1

November 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

Interview with Anthony Pompliano

Where would housing expand with broad upzoning?

Hovnanian 2023 Earnings

Interview with James Foord at the Pragmatic Investor

Look at that beautiful yield curve.

CEA: Inflation was transitory.

Unfortunately, production efficiency isn't going to make housing affordable

October 2023 Residential Sales and Homebuilders Update

Inflation was obviously transitory (postscript)

Inflation was obviously transitory

October 2023 Residential Construction

October 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

What kind of good is housing?

Housing Supply, Costs, and Urban Value (Part 4)

Upside Down CAPM, Part 3A: Sympathy

Upside Down CAPM, Part 3: Supply and Demand for Deferred Consumption

Quick Perspective Review on Housing Starts and Recessions

Update on rent trends, through September 2023

Upside Down CAPM, Part 2: The value of growth

Upside Down Capital Asset Pricing Model, Part 1

September 2023 Residential Sales and Homebuilder Earnings

A new real estate newsletter: Resiclub

Revisiting Boise

Random notes

September 2023 Residential Construction

September 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

More on the Fed and Long-Term Interest Rates

September 2023 Consumer Inflation and Homebuilders

It's never overbuilding. More detail.

It's never overbuilding, and that won't change soon.

Scattered Thoughts on Employment and Construction

No, I don't think the Fed drives future yields

More on House Sizes and Costs

Home Size and Costs

The consumption basket we call "housing"

August 2023 Residential Sales

More on Mortgage Affordability

August 2023 Residential Construction

August 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

Inflation: Everyone is right.

Why are homebuilder rate buydowns effective?

Interest Rates Aren't The Problem

More on Hovnanian 3Q 2023 Earnings

Hovnanian 3Q 2023 and musings on speculation and mortgage rates

The 2023 Market Compared to 2006

Note on Monetary Policy and Jackson Hole

July 2023 New Residential Home Sales & Builder Updates

Housing Supply, Costs, and Urban Value (Part 3)

Brig Burton

July 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker & Residential Construction Update

July 2023 CPI Inflation Update

Housing Supply, Costs, and Urban Value (Part 2)

Housing Supply, Costs, and Urban Value (Part 1)

Scholarship on the Mortgage Moral Panic

June 2023 New Residential Home Sales

The Housing Bust Was Not A Cyclical Event

Transitory Inflation (March 2021- June 2022)

June 2023 Residential Construction Update

Countrywide Financial Didn't Cause the Financial Crisis

June 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

June 2023 CPI Inflation Update

Bubble Mongers are more dangerous than bubbles

Comparing housing cycles since the 1980s

A Review of Gjerstad and Smith, Part 4

A Review of Gjerstad and Smith, Part 3

A Review of Gjerstad and Smith, Part 2

A Review of Gjerstad and Smith, Part 1

May 2023 Residential Home Sales

More on May 2023 Residential Construction

May 2023 Residential Construction Update

May 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

May 2023 CPI Inflation Update

More detail on "The end of location..." for subscribers

Quick Review of Flow of Funds Data

The End of Location, location, location

Research Roundup

Home Price Trends Point to a Worsening Lack of Supply: Part 3

Home Price Trends Point to a Worsening Lack of Supply: Part 2

Home Price Trends Point to a Worsening Lack of Supply: Part 1

New paper!

Housing is productive investment

April 2023 New Home Sales and Construction Updates

My new piece on home affordability at AZ Central

The shifting sands of observation

April 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

More on the Fed, Housing, and Inflation

Has the Fed Been Tardy?

The Great Recession Was Caused By Mortgage Suppression

Does Density Increase Local Prices?

"We need 'affordable' housing, not market rate housing" is much worse than it seems.

No, Biden isn't punishing you for your high credit score (Amendment)

No, Biden isn't punishing you for your high credit score.

Are housing expenditures stable over time?

March 2023 Residential Sales

Is gentrification a cause?

Notes on D.R. Horton 2nd Quarter Earnings Call

March 2023 Residential Construction Update

March 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

Housing Supply per capita eats your brain (Part 2)

Housing supply per capita eats your brain

More on Residential Sales Trends

February 2023 Residential New Home Sales

The Tea Party, Occupy Wall Street and the Bi-partisan American Own-Goal

More Detail on February Erdmann Housing Tracker Trends

The Zoning Theory of Everything

February 2023 Residential Construction Update

Inflation is Over

A Brief Review of Mortgage Affordability

February 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

A way to think about long-term homebuilder expectations

Supply constraints and residential improvements

Hovnanian 2023 1st Quarter

ThinkTech Hawaii Podcast with Keli'i Akina

January 2023 New Home Sales & Construction Update

Who Causes Problematic Housing Demand?

January 2023 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

Op-Ed in the Arizona Republic

Myths of the Housing Bubble, a continuing series

BTRE Podcast

A little secret buried in a homebuilder's SEC filings

What if we can’t expect cities to build more?

2022 December New Home Sales & Construction

AlphaSense Podcast

Shadows of Non-Filtering in Housing

The Secular Looks Cyclical

Subscription offer!

December 2022 Erdmann Housing Tracker Update

Unpacking 20 years of home price trends

Quick Note on Units Under Construction

More Color on Cancellations