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Benjamin Cole's avatar

OT but in the ballpark:

CPI out yesterday, and housing costs are driving the CPI.

Some headlines connected the CPI to tariffs.

I can assure you, housing has 10 times, maybe 20 times, the influence on the CPI than tariffs.

But you read about tariffs and inflation...because that what orthodox macroeconomists talk about.

So...can housing-cost inflation (shortages) be fought with tighter money?

Would more QE by the Fed, which would tend to add money back into capital markets and lower interest rates, bring marginal improvements in housing supplies?

(I think marginal, but for the real deal we have to outlaw property zoning).

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Dave Stuhlsatz's avatar

I suppose what we really need to do is return to pre-WWII lending standards for housing construction. The streetcar suburbs were financed with short-term (5-8 years) mortgages, 50% down payments, and interest rates of 8-10%.

It also helps to have 60 hour work weeks, limited plumbing, no electricity, cheap labor, and looser building and development regulations.

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